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1.
J Korean Med Sci ; 38(22): e170, 2023 Jun 05.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20245085

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Although coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines have been distributed worldwide under emergency use authorization, the real-world safety profiles of mRNA vaccines still need to be clearly defined. We aimed to identify the overall incidence and factors associated with adverse events (AEs) following mRNA COVID-19 vaccination. METHODS: We conducted web-based survey from December 2 to 10 in 2021 with a 2,849 nationwide sampled panel. Study participants were individuals who had elapsed at least two-weeks after completing two dosing schedules of COVID-19 vaccination aged between 18-49 years. We weighted the participants to represent the Korean population. The outcome was the overall incidence of AEs following mRNA COVID-19 vaccination and associated factors. We estimated the weighted odds ratios (ORs) using multivariable logistic regression models to identify the factors associated with AEs. RESULTS: Of the 2,849 participants (median [interquartile range] age, 35 [27-42] years; 51.6% male), 90.8% (n = 2,582) for the first dose and 88.7% (n = 2,849) for the second dose reported AEs, and 3.3% and 4.3% reported severe AEs, respectively. Occurrence of AEs was more prevalent in mRNA-1273 (OR, 2.06; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.59-2.67 vs. BNT162b2), female sex (1.88; 1.52-2.32), and those with dermatologic diseases (2.51; 1.32-4.77). History of serious allergic reactions (1.96; 1.06-3.64) and anticoagulant medication use (4.72; 1.92-11.6) were associated with severe AEs. CONCLUSION: Approximately 90% of participants reported AEs following mRNA COVID-19 vaccination. Substantial factors, including vaccine type (mRNA-1273), female sex, and dermatologic diseases were associated with AEs. Our findings could aid policymakers in establishing vaccination strategies tailored to those potentially susceptible to AEs.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , Female , Male , Adolescent , Young Adult , Adult , Middle Aged , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , 2019-nCoV Vaccine mRNA-1273 , BNT162 Vaccine , RNA, Messenger , Vaccination/adverse effects
2.
Epidemiol Health ; : e2023054, 2023 Jun 07.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20240600

ABSTRACT

Objectives: This study investigated the reporting rates of adverse events following immunization (AEFIs) to the spontaneous reporting system (SRS) and its predictors among individuals with AEFIs after coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination. Methods: A cross-sectional, web-based survey was conducted from December 2 to 20, 2021, recruiting participants >14 days after completion of a primary COVID-19 vaccination series. Reporting rates were calculated by dividing the number of participants who reported AEFIs to the SRS by the total number of participants who experienced AEFIs. We estimated adjusted odds ratios (AORs) using multivariate logistic regression to determine factors associated with spontaneous AEFI reporting. Results: Among 2,993 participants, 90.9% and 88.7% experienced AEFIs after the first and second vaccine doses, respectively (reporting rates, 11.6% and 12.7%). Furthermore, 3.3% and 4.2% suffered moderate to severe AEFIs, respectively (reporting rates, 50.5% and 50.0%). Spontaneous reporting was more prevalent in women (AOR=1.54; 95% CI, 1.31-1.81); those with moderate to severe AEFIs (AOR=5.47; 95% CI, 4.45-6.73), comorbidities (AOR=1.31; 95% CI, 1.09-1.57), a history of severe allergic reactions (AOR=2.02; 95% CI, 1.47-2.77); and those who had received mRNA-1273 (AOR=1.25; 95% CI, 1.05-1.49) or ChAdOx1 (AOR=1.62; 95% CI, 1.15-2.30) vaccines versus BNT162b2. Reporting was less likely in older individuals (AOR=0.98; 95% CI, 0.98-0.99 per 1-year age increment). Conclusion: Spontaneous reporting of AEFIs after COVID-19 vaccination was associated with younger age, female sex, moderate to severe AEFIs, comorbidities, history of allergic reactions, and vaccine type. AEFI under-reporting should be considered when delivering information to the community and in public health decision-making.

3.
Diabetes Obes Metab ; 2023 Jun 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-20233047

ABSTRACT

AIM: To explore the risk of breakthrough infection among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and risk of severe clinical outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection according to vaccination status. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a population-based cohort study using South Korea's linked database of nationwide COVID-19 registry and claims data between 2018 and 2021. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for breakthrough infections were measured in 1:1 propensity-score (PS)-matched fully vaccinated patients with versus without T2D (full-vaccination cohort), and HRs for all-cause mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission/mechanical ventilation (MV) use, and hospitalizations after SARS-CoV-2 infection were measured in 1:1 PS-matched T2D patients with versus without full-vaccination (T2D cohort). RESULTS: After 1:1 PS matching, 2 109 970 patients with and without T2D were identified (age 63.5 years; 50.9% male). Patients with T2D showed an increased risk of breakthrough infections compared to those without T2D (HR 1.10, 95% CI 1.06-1.14). The increased risk of breakthrough infections was more notable among T2D patients receiving insulin treatment. However, the risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes was lower in fully vaccinated T2D patients compared with unvaccinated T2D patients (all-cause mortality: HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.43-0.67; ICU admission/MV use: HR 0.31, 95% CI 0.23-0.41; hospitalization: HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.68-0.78). CONCLUSIONS: While patients with T2D remain a vulnerable population to SARS-CoV-2 infection even after full-vaccination, full-vaccination was associated with a lower risk of adverse clinical outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection. These findings support the guidelines recommending patients with T2D as a priority vaccination group.

4.
Epidemiol Health ; : e2022106, 2022 Nov 15.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2308679

ABSTRACT

Objectives: In Korea, contact tracing for coronavirus disease 2019 is conducted using the information from credit card records, handwritten visitor logs, KI-Pass (QR code), and Safe Call after an interview. We aimed to assess the usefulness of these tools for contact tracing. Methods: The 2 months (July to September 2021) long anonymous online survey was conducted. Contact tracers from throughout Korea were included as the participants. The questionnaire consisted of 4 parts: 1) demographic characteristics, 2) usefulness of each tool for contact tracing, 3) order in which information is checked during contact tracing, and 4) match rate between tools for contact tracing, screening test rate, response rate, and helpfulness (rated on a Likert scale). Results: A total of 190 individuals participated in the survey. When asked to rate the usefulness of each tool for contact tracing on a Likert scale, most respondents (86%) provided positive response for "credit card records", while the most common response for "handwritten visitor logs" was negative. The actual helpfulness of positive response was KI-Pass (91%), Credit card records (83%), Safe Call (78%), and Handwritten visitor logs (22%). Conclusion: Over 80% of participants provided positive responses to credit card records, KI-Pass, and Safe Call data, while approximately 50% provided negative responses regarding the usefulness of handwritten visitor logs. Our findings highlight the need to unify systems for contact tracing performed after an interview to increase their convenience for contact tracers, as well as the need to improve tools that utilize handwritten visitor logs for digitally vulnerable groups.

6.
Epidemiol Health ; : e2022061, 2022 Jul 22.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2274367

ABSTRACT

Objectives: To explore predictors of COVID-19 booster hesitancy among fully vaccinated young adults and parental factors on COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy for their children. Methods: A cross-sectional study was conducted via an online survey from December 2 to 20, 2021. We enrolled participants aged 18-49 years and elapsed ≥2 weeks after completing a primary series of COVID-19 vaccination. We estimated odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) using multivariate logistic regressions to evaluate factors associated with booster/vaccine hesitancy. Results: Among 2,993 participants, 48.8% indicated hesitancy (wait and see: 40.2%; definitely not: 8.7%). The booster hesitancy was more in females (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.05-1.50), younger age group (1.44 [1.17-1.77] at 18-29 years vs. 40-49 years), lower education level (2.05 [1.10-3.82] in no high school vs. graduate degree), mRNA-1273 (2.01, 1.65-2.45 vs. BNT162b2), and those with serious adverse events following previous COVID-19 vaccination (2.03, 1.47-2.80). The main reasons for booster hesitancy were concerns about its safety (54.1%), followed by doubt about the efficacy (29.8%). Among 1,020 respondents who had children aged <18 years, 65.8% indicated COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy for their children; the hesitancy for children was higher at the younger age, and lower at lower education level, ChAdOx1 (vs. BNT162b2), and those with history of COVID-19 infection. Conclusion: Concerns on the efficacy and safety of COVID-19 vaccines were the major barrier to booster hesitancy. The initial COVID-19 vaccine type, younger age, women, lower education level, and adverse events following COVID-19 vaccine were the key predictors of booster hesitancy.

7.
Epidemiol Health ; 44: e2022034, 2022.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2264816

ABSTRACT

OBJECTIVES: Many countries have authorized the emergency use of oral antiviral agents for patients with mild-to-moderate cases of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We assessed the cost-effectiveness of these agents for reducing the number of severe COVID-19 cases and the burden on Korea's medical system. METHODS: Using an existing model, we estimated the number of people who would require hospital/intensive care unit (ICU) admission in Korea in 2022. The treatment scenarios included (1) all adult patients, (2) elderly patients only, and (3) adult patients with underlying diseases only, compared to standard care. Based on the current health system capacity, we calculated the incremental costs per severe case averted and hospital admission for each scenario. RESULTS: We estimated that 236,510 COVID-19 patients would require hospital/ICU admission in 2022 with standard care only. Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (87% efficacy) was predicted to reduce this number by 80%, 24%, and 17% when targeting all adults, adults with underlying diseases, and elderly patients (25, 8, and 4%, respectively, for molnupiravir, with 30% efficacy). Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir use is likely to be cost-effective, with predicted costs of US$8,878, US$8,964, and US$1,454, per severe patient averted for the target groups listed above, respectively, while molnupiravir is likely to be less cost-effective, with costs of US$28,492, US$29,575, and US$7,915, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In Korea, oral treatment using nirmatrelvir/ritonavir for symptomatic COVID-19 patients targeting elderly patients would be highly cost-effective and would substantially reduce the demand for hospital admission to below the capacity of the health system if targeted to all adult patients instead of standard care.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Drug Treatment , SARS-CoV-2 , Adult , Aged , Antiviral Agents/adverse effects , Antiviral Agents/therapeutic use , Cost-Benefit Analysis , Humans , Ritonavir/therapeutic use
8.
J Korean Med Sci ; 38(11): e94, 2023 Mar 20.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2254158

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Owing to limited experience with the new vaccine platforms, discussion of vaccine safety is inevitable. However, media coverage of adverse events of special interest could influence the vaccination rate; thus, evaluating the outcomes of adverse events of special interest influencing vaccine administration is crucial. METHODS: We conducted regression discontinuity in time analysis to calculate the local average treatment effect (LATE) using datasets from Our World in Data and Johns Hopkins University Center for Systems Science and Engineering. For the United States, the United Kingdom, and Europe, the cutoff points were April 23rd and June 23rd, April 7th, and the 14th week of 2021, respectively. RESULTS: The LATE of the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices (ACIP) meeting held on April 23rd was -0.249 for all vaccines, -0.133 (-0.189 to -0.076) for Pfizer, -0.064 (-0.115 to -0.012) for Moderna, and -0.038 (-0.047 to -0.030) for Johnson & Johnson. Discontinuities were observed for all three types of vaccines in the United States. The June 23rd meeting of the ACIP (mRNA vaccines and myocarditis) did not convene any discontinuities. Furthermore, there was no significant drop in the weekly average vaccination rates in Europe following the European Medicines Agency (EMA) statement on April 7th. Conversely, there was a significant drop in the first-dose vaccination rates in the United Kingdom related to the EMA report. The first-dose vaccination rate for all vaccines changed by -0.104 (-0.176 to -0.032). CONCLUSION: Although monitoring and reporting of adverse events of special interest are important, a careful approach towards public announcements is warranted.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Vaccines , Humans , United States , COVID-19/prevention & control , COVID-19/etiology , Vaccines/adverse effects , Vaccination/adverse effects , Immunization , Adverse Drug Reaction Reporting Systems
10.
J Korean Med Sci ; 37(45): e325, 2022 Nov 21.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2141687

ABSTRACT

As most individuals acquire immunity to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, South Korea declared a return to normalcy a few months ago. However, epidemic waves continue because of endlessly emerging variants and waning immunity. Health authorities are focusing on those at high risk of severe coronavirus disease 2019 to minimize damage to public health and the economy. In this regard, we investigated the vaccination rates in patients with various chronic medical conditions by examining the national health insurance claims data and the national immunization registry. We found that patients with chronic medical conditions, especially those of higher severity, such as malignancy, had vaccination rates approximately 10-20% lower than those of the general population. Public health authorities and healthcare providers should try to vaccinate these patients to avoid preventable morbidity and mortality.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines , COVID-19 , Humans , Cross-Sectional Studies , COVID-19/prevention & control , Vaccination , Immunization , Chronic Disease
11.
BMC Public Health ; 22(1): 2098, 2022 11 17.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2117061

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: With the prompt administration of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccines, highly vaccinated countries have begun to lift their stringent control measures. However, considering the spread of highly transmissible new variants, resuming socio-economic activities may lead to the resurgence of incidence, particularly in nations with a low proportion of individuals who have natural immunity. Here, we aimed to quantitatively assess an optimal COVID-19 exit strategy in the Republic of Korea, where only a small number of cumulative incidences have been recorded as of September 2021, comparing epidemiological outcomes via scenario analysis. METHODS: A discrete-time deterministic compartmental model structured by age group was used, accounting for the variant-specific transmission dynamics and the currently planned nationwide vaccination. All parameters were calibrated using comprehensive empirical data obtained from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency. RESULTS: Our projection suggests that tapering the level of social distancing countermeasures to the minimum level from November 2021 can efficiently suppress a resurgence of incidence given the currently planned nationwide vaccine roll-out. In addition, considering the spread of the Delta variant, our model suggested that gradual easing of countermeasures for more than 4 months can efficiently withstand the prevalence of severe COVID-19 cases until the end of 2022. CONCLUSIONS: Our model-based projections provide evidence-based guidance for an exit strategy that allows society to resume normal life while sustaining the suppression of the COVID-19 epidemic in countries where the spread of COVID-19 has been well controlled.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Epidemics , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Vaccination
12.
Korean Circ J ; 52(11): 808-813, 2022 Nov.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2110395

ABSTRACT

Studies showing that coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease continue to be published. However, studies on how long the overall cardiovascular risk increases after COVID-19 and the magnitude of its long-term effects have only been confirmed recently. This is partly because the distinction between cardiovascular risk as an acute complication of COVID-19 or post-acute cardiovascular manifestations is ambiguous. Long-COVID has arisen as an important topic in the second half of the pandemic. This term indicates that symptoms persist for more than two 2 months; following three months of SARS-CoV-2 infection and cannot be explained by other medical conditions. Despite the agreement of these international organizations and experts, it is difficult to define whether there is sufficient medical evidence to prove the existence of long-COVID. However, the Korean government and Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency (KDCA) are preparing a new platform to assess the long-term impact of COVID-19. Using this data, a prospective cohort of 10,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases will be established. This cohort will be linked with claims data from the National Health Insurance Services (NHIS) and it is expected that increased real-world evidence of long-COVID will be accumulated.

13.
J Korean Med Sci ; 37(41): e300, 2022 Oct 24.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2089757

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: The Democratic People's Republic of Korea (North Korea) had successfully suppressed the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic via border closures. However, a rapid surge in incidence was reported due to the spread of the omicron variant (B.1.1.529), leading to a national emergency declaration in May 2022. Moreover, with the lack of vaccine accessibility and medical facilities, it is unclear how the disease burden may be exacerbated. Despite the limited epidemiological data, we aimed to project the COVID-19 transmissions in North Korea and quantify the potential impact of nationwide vaccination, comparing epidemiological outcomes via scenario analysis. METHODS: A discrete-time deterministic compartmental model was used. The parameters were calibrated using empirical data. Numerical simulations incorporated nationwide COVID-19 vaccination into the proposed model with various asymptomatic proportions. RESULTS: Our model suggested that the stringent public health and social measures (PHSMs) reduced the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 transmissibility by more than 80% in North Korea. Projections that explicitly incorporated vaccination indicated that nationwide vaccination would be necessary to suppress a huge resurgence in both COVID-19 cases and hospitalizations after the stringent PHSMs are eased. Moreover, vaccinating more than 80% of the population with two doses may keep the peak prevalence of hospitalizations below 1,500, averting more than 40,000 hospitalizations across all scenarios. CONCLUSION: Nationwide vaccination would be essential to suppress the prevalence of COVID-19 hospitalizations in North Korea after the stringent PHSMs are lifted, especially in the case of a small asymptomatic proportion.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Humans , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , SARS-CoV-2 , Democratic People's Republic of Korea/epidemiology , COVID-19 Vaccines , Vaccination
15.
J Korean Med Sci ; 37(34): e258, 2022 Aug 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2009843

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate whether respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and influenza virus (IFV) infections would occur in 2021-2022 as domestic nonpharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are easing. METHODS: Data were collected from the Korean Influenza and Respiratory Virus Monitoring System database. The weekly positivity rates of respiratory viruses and number of hospitalizations for acute respiratory infections were evaluated (January 2016-2022). The period from February 2020 to January 2022 was considered the NPI period. The autoregressive integrated moving average model and Poisson analysis were used for data analysis. Data from 14 countries/regions that reported positivity rates of RSV and IFV were also investigated. RESULTS: Compared with the pre-NPI period, the positivity and hospitalization rates for IFV infection during 2021-2022 significantly decreased to 0.0% and 1.0%, respectively, at 0.0% and 1.2% of the predicted values, respectively. The RSV infection positivity rate in 2021-2022 was 1.8-fold higher than that in the pre-NPI period at 1.5-fold the predicted value. The hospitalization rate for RSV was 20.0% of that in the pre-NPI period at 17.6% of the predicted value. The re-emergence of RSV and IFV infections during 2020-2021 was observed in 13 and 4 countries, respectively. CONCLUSION: During 2021-2022, endemic transmission of the RSV, but not IFV, was observed in Korea.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections , Respiratory Syncytial Virus, Human , COVID-19/epidemiology , Hospitalization , Humans , Pandemics , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/diagnosis , Respiratory Syncytial Virus Infections/epidemiology , Seasons , Sentinel Surveillance
16.
J Korean Med Sci ; 37(23): e189, 2022 Jun 13.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1892608

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND: Since March 2020, when coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was declared a pandemic, many countries have applied unprecedented restrictive measures to contain the spread of the virus. This study aimed to explore the optimal social distancing policy for COVID-19 control in South Korea to safely reopen the society. METHODS: We developed an age-specific, deterministic compartment epidemic model to examine the COVID-19 control decision-making process, including the epidemiology of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) between 1 July 2021 and 30 December 2022. The model consists of the natural history of COVID-19, testing performance, vaccinations, and social distancing enforcement measures to detect and control SARS-CoV-2. We modelled potential intervention scenarios with three distinct components: 1) social distancing duration and level; 2) testing intensity; and 3) vaccination uptake rate. The primary and secondary outcomes were COVID-19 incidence and prevalence of severe patients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) care. RESULTS: Four (or more) months of social distancing (that can reduce 40-60% transmission) may mitigate epidemic resurgence and ICU demand in the future and keep the cases below the capacity limit if the testing intensity and vaccination rate remain constant or increase by 20% (with respect to the current level). In contrast, two months of strict social distancing enforcement may also successfully mitigate future epidemic surge and ICU demand as long as testing intensity and vaccination rates are increased by 20%. CONCLUSION: In South Korea, given the relatively high vaccination coverage and low incidence, four or more months of social distancing enforcement can effectively mitigate epidemic resurgence after lifting the social distancing measures. In addition, increasing the testing intensity and vaccination rate may help reduce necessary social distancing levels and duration to prevent a future epidemic resurgence and mitigate social and economic damage.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiology , COVID-19/prevention & control , Humans , Pandemics/prevention & control , Physical Distancing , Policy , SARS-CoV-2
17.
JAMA Netw Open ; 5(2): e2147363, 2022 02 01.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1669330

ABSTRACT

Importance: Infections are proposed to be triggering factors for Kawasaki disease (KD), although its etiological factors remain unknown. Recent reports have indicated a 4- to 6-week lag between SARS-CoV-2 infection and multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children with a similar presentation to that of KD. Objective: To investigate the temporal correlation between KD and viral infections, focusing on respiratory viruses. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study was conducted among individuals aged 0 to 19 years diagnosed with KD between January 2010 and September 2020 from the Korean National Health Insurance Service. Data on infectious disease outbreaks from 2016 to 2019 were collected from the Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Korean Influenza and Respiratory Virus Monitoring System, Korea Enteroviruses Surveillance System, and the Enteric Pathogens Active Surveillance Network in South Korea. Data were analyzed from December 2020 to October 2021. Main Outcomes and Measures: National databases for infectious diseases were used for a time-series analysis of the correlation between viral infections and KD. The temporal correlation between infectious disease outbreaks and KD outbreaks was evaluated using the Granger causality test (G-test), which is a useful tool to estimate correlations between 2 time series of diseases based on time lags. Results: Overall, 53 424 individuals with KD were identified, including 22 510 (42.1%) females and 30 914 (57.9%) males and 44 276 individuals (82.9%) younger than 5 years. Intravenous immunoglobulin-resistant KD was identified in 9042 individuals (16.9%), and coronary artery abnormalities were identified in 384 individuals (0.7%). Of 14 infectious diseases included in the analyses, rhinovirus infection outbreaks were identified as significantly correlated at 1 to 3 months before KD outbreaks in South Korea (r = 0.3; 1 month: P < .001; 2 months: P < .001; 3 months: P < .001). Outbreaks of respiratory syncytial virus infection were identified as significantly correlated with KD outbreaks by 2 months (r = 0.5; 2 months: P < .001). Additionally, varicella outbreaks were identified as significantly correlated at 2 and 3 months before KD outbreaks (r = 0.7; 2 months: P < .001; 3 months: P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort study with a time series analysis of children and youth in South Korea with KD, respiratory infections caused by rhinovirus and respiratory syncytial virus and varicella outbreaks were significantly correlated with KD at 1 to 3 months before KD outbreaks.


Subject(s)
COVID-19/epidemiology , Communicable Diseases/epidemiology , Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome/epidemiology , Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome/epidemiology , Adolescent , Adult , Child , Child, Preschool , Cohort Studies , Female , Humans , Infant , Infant, Newborn , Male , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Time Factors , Young Adult
19.
J Clin Med ; 10(15)2021 Jul 29.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1335126

ABSTRACT

Social distancing is an effective measure to mitigate the spread of novel viral infections in the absence of antiviral agents and insufficient vaccine supplies. Subway utilization density may reflect social activity and the degree of social distancing in the general population.; This study aimed to evaluate the correlations between subway use density and the activity of the influenza epidemic or coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic using a time-series regression method. The subway use-based social distancing score (S-SDS) was calculated using the weekly ridership of 11 major subway stations. The temporal association of S-SDS with influenza-like illness (ILI) rates or the COVID-19 pandemic activity was analyzed using structural vector autoregressive modeling and the Granger causality (GC) test. During three influenza seasons (2017-2020), the time-series regression presented a significant causality from S-SDS to ILI (p = 0.0484). During the COVID-19 pandemic in January 2020, S-SDS had been suppressed at a level similar to or below the average of the previous four years. In contrast to the ILI rate, there was a negative correlation between COVID-19 activity and S-SDS. GC analysis revealed a negative causal relationship between COVID-19 and S-SDS (p = 0.0098).; S-SDS showed a significant time-series association with the ILI rate but not with COVID-19 activity. When public transportation use is sufficiently suppressed, additional social mobility restrictions are unlikely to significantly affect COVID-19 pandemic activity. It would be more important to strengthen universal mask-wearing and detailed public health measures focused on risk activities, particularly in enclosed spaces.

20.
J Korean Med Sci ; 36(27): e197, 2021 Jul 12.
Article in English | MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1308264

ABSTRACT

We used the nationwide claims database to calculate the incidence of thrombotic events and predict their overall 2-week incidence. From 2006 to 2020, the incidence of deep vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism (PE), and disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) tended to increase. Unlike intracranial venous thrombosis (ICVT) and intracranial thrombophlebitis (ICTP), which showed no age difference, other venous embolism, and thrombosis (OVET), DIC, DVT, and PE were significantly more common in over 65 years. The overall 2-week incidence of ICVT was 0.21/1,000,000 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.11-0.32). ICTP, OVET, DIC, DVT and PE were expected to occur in 0.08 (95% CI, 0.02-0.14), 7.66 (95% CI, 6.08-9.23), 5.95 (95% CI, 4.88-7.03), 13.28 (95% CI, 11.92-14.64), 14.09 (95% CI, 12.80-15.37) per 1,000,000, respectively. To date, of 8,548,231 patients vaccinated with ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 in Korea, two had confirmed thrombosis with thrombocytopenia syndrome within 2 weeks. The observed incidence of ICVT after vaccination was 0.23/1,000,000.


Subject(s)
COVID-19 Vaccines/adverse effects , Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation/chemically induced , Pulmonary Embolism/chemically induced , Thromboembolism/chemically induced , Vaccination/adverse effects , Venous Thrombosis/chemically induced , Aged , Causality , Cerebrovascular Disorders/epidemiology , ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 , Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation/epidemiology , Female , Humans , Incidence , Intracranial Thrombosis/epidemiology , Male , Middle Aged , Models, Theoretical , Pulmonary Embolism/epidemiology , Republic of Korea/epidemiology , Thrombocytopenia/chemically induced , Thrombocytopenia/epidemiology , Thromboembolism/epidemiology , Venous Thrombosis/epidemiology
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